Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.125379 0.138820 0.152636 0.167867 0.184156 0.201024 0.219780
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.105346 0.125687 0.147674 0.173066 0.201439 0.232029 0.267363
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.094518 0.120207 0.149172 0.183903 0.224070 0.268725 0.321778
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.086021 0.115760 0.150541 0.193594 0.244811 0.303174 0.374065
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.075302 0.107105 0.145641 0.194785 0.254788 0.324696 0.411292
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.064447 0.096935 0.137709 0.191231 0.258209 0.337870 0.438334
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.059696 0.093997 0.138285 0.197763 0.273625 0.365284 0.482453
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.054823 0.090314 0.137423 0.202081 0.286042 0.388978 0.522201
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.049987 0.086152 0.135482 0.204631 0.295969 0.409499 0.558138
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.045205 0.081568 0.132543 0.205496 0.303467 0.426854 0.590177
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.045008 0.083690 0.138883 0.218925 0.327543 0.465467 0.649274
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.042083 0.081372 0.138723 0.223306 0.339601 0.488793 0.689294
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.038991 0.078749 0.138259 0.227639 0.352265 0.513890 0.733027
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.035149 0.074597 0.135327 0.228390 0.360147 0.533030 0.769653
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.034172 0.075106 0.139373 0.239224 0.382063 0.570966 0.831151
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033237 0.075572 0.143306 0.249927 0.403945 0.609132 0.893405
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030260 0.072121 0.140850 0.250964 0.412111 0.628894 0.931561
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026463 0.066758 0.134975 0.246545 0.412289 0.637744 0.955280
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025393 0.066390 0.137135 0.254308 0.429959 0.670488 1.011024
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.023919 0.065084 0.137630 0.259449 0.443861 0.698198 1.060295
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022199 0.063101 0.136839 0.262486 0.454670 0.721720 1.104129
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020299 0.060530 0.134864 0.263516 0.462452 0.741063 1.142447
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020856 0.063227 0.142175 0.279534 0.492714 0.792057 1.224180